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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-20 13:46:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 201146 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Oct 20 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Priscilla, located about a hundred miles south-southeast of Manzanillo, Mexico. An elongated area of low pressure located more than a thousand miles east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Any development of this system should be slow to occur while it moves slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph during the next couple of days. This system is expected to move into the central Pacific basin by tonight or early Monday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && Public Advisories on Priscilla are issued under WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4. Forecast/Advisories on Priscilla are issued under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4. $$ Forecaster Berg
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-20 09:33:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 200733 TWOEP Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1235 AM PDT Sun Oct 20 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Special outlook issued to update discussion for the system near the west-central coast of Mexico. Recent satellite wind data and conventional satellite imagery indicate that the area of low pressure located near the west-central coast of Mexico has become better organized and is producing winds to near tropical storm strength. Some additional development is possible and this system has the potential to become a short-lived tropical depression or storm this morning or later today before it moves inland by Sunday night. Regardless of whether or not this system becomes a tropical cyclone, heavy rainfall associated with this disturbance could produce flash flooding and mudslides across portions of Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco, especially in areas of mountainous terrain, during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. An elongated area of low pressure located over the far southwestern portion of the eastern Pacific basin is also producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Any development of this system should be slow to occur while it drifts westward during the next few days. This system is expected to move into the central Pacific basin by late Sunday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: north
weather
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eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-20 07:04:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 200504 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Oct 19 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in association with a low pressure system located near the west-central coast of Mexico. Some additional development of this system is possible and a short-lived tropical depression could form on Sunday before it moves inland by Sunday night. Regardless of whether or not this system becomes a tropical depression, heavy rainfall associated with this disturbance could produce flash flooding and mudslides across portions of Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco, especially in areas of mountainous terrain, during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. An elongated area of low pressure located over the far southwestern portion of the eastern Pacific basin is also producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Any development of this system should be slow to occur while it drifts westward during the next few days. This system is expected to move into the central Pacific basin by late Sunday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-20 01:01:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 192301 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Oct 19 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Octave, located over the southwestern portion of the eastern Pacific basin. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located near the west-central coast of Mexico are associated with an area of low pressure area embedded within an elongated surface trough. Some development of this system is possible before it moves inland over west-central Mexico by late Sunday. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall associated with this disturbance could produce flash flooding and mudslides across portions of Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco, especially in areas of mountainous terrain, during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An elongated area of low pressure located over the far southwestern portion of the eastern Pacific basin is also producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Any development of this system should be slow while the it drifts westward during the next few days. This system is expected to move into the central Pacific basin by late Sunday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-19 19:31:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 191731 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Oct 19 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Octave, located over the southwestern portion of the eastern Pacific basin. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located near the west-central coast of Mexico is associated with a weak low pressure area embedded within an elongated surface trough. Some development of this system is possible before it moves inland over west-central Mexico and dissipates by late Sunday. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall associated with this disturbance could produce flash flooding and mudslides across portions of Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco, especially in areas of mountainous terrain, during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Showers and thunderstorms have increased near a small low pressure system located over the far southwestern portion of the eastern Pacific basin. However, any further development is expected to be slow to occur while the system drifts slowly westward at about 5 mph. This system is expected to move into the central Pacific basin by late Sunday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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