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Tropical Storm Dolores Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2021-06-19 16:36:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT JUN 19 2021 957 FOPZ14 KNHC 191436 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM DOLORES WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042021 1500 UTC SAT JUN 19 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLORES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAN BLAS 34 1 10(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) P VALLARTA 34 7 5(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 22 X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) MANZANILLO 34 84 X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) $$ FORECASTER BERG
Tropical Storm Claudette Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7
2021-06-19 10:58:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT JUN 19 2021 000 FONT13 KNHC 190858 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032021 0900 UTC SAT JUN 19 2021 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) X(19) X(19) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) X(11) X(11) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) X(16) X(16) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) X(17) X(17) NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) X(17) X(17) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) X(16) X(16) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) X(14) X(14) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) X(14) X(14) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 5(14) X(14) X(14) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) X(13) X(13) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) X(13) X(13) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ATLANTA GA 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PANAMA CITY FL 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 6 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) COLUMBUS GA 34 1 3( 4) 11(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 2 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MONTGOMERY AL 34 4 11(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) WHITING FLD FL 34 12 5(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) PENSACOLA FL 34 14 4(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) GFMX 290N 870W 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MOBILE AL 34 72 1(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) GULFPORT MS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) STENNIS MS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BURAS LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 280N 890W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) JACKSON MS 34 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 280N 910W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BATON ROUGE LA 34 8 X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MORGAN CITY LA 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Tropical Storm Dolores Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2021-06-19 10:51:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT JUN 19 2021 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 190851 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM DOLORES WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042021 0900 UTC SAT JUN 19 2021 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLORES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SAN BLAS 34 1 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) P VALLARTA 34 2 10(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 18 18(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) MANZANILLO 34 68 8(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) MANZANILLO 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) L CARDENAS 34 72 X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) ZIHUATANEJO 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER PAPIN/BLAKE
Potential Tropical Cyclone Three Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2021-06-19 04:44:04| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT JUN 19 2021 000 FONT13 KNHC 190243 PWSAT3 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE THREE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032021 0300 UTC SAT JUN 19 2021 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE THREE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) X(11) X(11) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ATLANTA GA 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 7(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) APALACHICOLA 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PANAMA CITY FL 34 3 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 7 5(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) COLUMBUS GA 34 X 2( 2) 12(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 2 5( 7) 5(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) MONTGOMERY AL 34 3 11(14) 11(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) WHITING FLD FL 34 13 10(23) 2(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) PENSACOLA FL 34 16 10(26) X(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) GFMX 290N 870W 34 9 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) MOBILE AL 34 63 7(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) GULFPORT MS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GULFPORT MS 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) STENNIS MS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) STENNIS MS 50 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BURAS LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 280N 890W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) JACKSON MS 34 15 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GFMX 280N 910W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BATON ROUGE LA 34 22 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) MORGAN CITY LA 34 34 X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) LAFAYETTE LA 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW IBERIA LA 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Tropical Storm Dolores Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
2021-06-19 04:39:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT JUN 19 2021 401 FOPZ14 KNHC 190238 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM DOLORES WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042021 0300 UTC SAT JUN 19 2021 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLORES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLAS MARIAS 34 1 1( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAN BLAS 34 X 2( 2) 9(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) P VALLARTA 34 X 7( 7) 6(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 1 27(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MANZANILLO 34 29 32(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) MANZANILLO 50 X 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) MANZANILLO 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) L CARDENAS 34 82 X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) ZIHUATANEJO 34 25 X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) $$ FORECASTER LATTO
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