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Summary for Hurricane BERTHA (AT3/AL032014)
2014-08-04 16:39:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...BERTHA BECOMES THE SECOND HURRICANE OF THE 2014 ATLANTIC SEASON... As of 11:00 AM EDT Mon Aug 4 the center of BERTHA was located near 27.6, -73.6 with movement N at 17 mph. The minimum central pressure was 998 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 80 mph.
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hurricane bertha
Hurricane BERTHA Public Advisory Number 15
2014-08-04 16:39:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM EDT MON AUG 04 2014 000 WTNT33 KNHC 041438 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014 1100 AM EDT MON AUG 04 2014 ...BERTHA BECOMES THE SECOND HURRICANE OF THE 2014 ATLANTIC SEASON... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.6N 73.6W ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM ENE OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.6 WEST. BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND NORTHEAST WITH INCREASING FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...BERTHA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE BAHAMAS TODAY AND PASS ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN THE U.S. EAST COAST AND BERMUDA ON TUESDAY. REPORTS FROM NOAA AND AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY LATE TUESDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Hurricane BERTHA Forecast Advisory Number 15
2014-08-04 16:39:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON AUG 04 2014 000 WTNT23 KNHC 041438 TCMAT3 HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014 1500 UTC MON AUG 04 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 73.6W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......140NE 100SE 30SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 70SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 73.6W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.8N 73.6W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 30.0N 73.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 33.4N 72.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 36.3N 69.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 39.0N 65.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 80SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 45.0N 55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 90SE 60SW 0NW. 34 KT...140NE 150SE 100SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 49.0N 45.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 49.0N 33.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.6N 73.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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Hurricane BERTHA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15
2014-08-04 16:39:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC MON AUG 04 2014 000 FONT13 KNHC 041438 PWSAT3 HURRICANE BERTHA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014 1500 UTC MON AUG 04 2014 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 40(42) 1(43) HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 23(45) X(45) CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) X(13) CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 5(25) X(25) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 35(35) X(35) X(35) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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