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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-08-02 01:41:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 012341 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT MON AUG 1 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A strong tropical wave over the central Caribbean Sea, located a couple of hundred miles southeast of Kingston, Jamaica, continues to move quickly westward at about 20 mph. Although the associated shower and thunderstorm activity remains well organized, surface observations indicate that the system still appears to lack a closed surface circulation. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical storm is likely to form later tonight or Tuesday morning. An Air Force Reserve Reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system Tuesday morning. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds, perhaps to tropical storm force, will continue over portions of the Dominican Republic and Haiti through this evening. Tropical storm conditions are likely to occur over Jamaica tonight, and could reach the Cayman Islands overnight. Interests in these areas and elsewhere in the western Caribbean Sea should continue to monitor the progress of this disturbance. For additional information, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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