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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-02 20:44:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
325 ABNT20 KNHC 021843 CCA TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Sep 2 2018 Corrected timing of first disturbance moving into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Florence, located several hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands. Thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave located between north-central Cuba and the central Bahamas is gradually becoming better organized, and upper-level winds are also becoming more favorable. A tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward across the northwestern Bahamas, southern Florida, and the Florida Keys. The system is forecast to emerge over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico Monday afternoon and move toward the north-central Gulf Coast Tuesday night and Wednesday. This system will produce locally heavy rains and gusty winds across the central and northwestern Bahamas, southern Florida, and the Florida Keys during the next day or two. A tropical storm watch could be issued for portions of the northern Gulf Coast tonight. Interests in these areas should monitor the progress of this system. For more information, see products from your local weather forecast office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system tomorrow. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A tropical wave located along the west coast of Africa is forecast to move westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic for the next several days. Upper-level winds are expected to gradually become more conducive for some slow development of this disturbance by the middle of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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