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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-11 07:13:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
509 ABNT20 KNHC 110513 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Tue Sep 11 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Florence, located over the west-central Atlantic Ocean, on Hurricane Helene, located over the eastern Atlantic, and on recently downgraded Tropical Storm Isaac, located over the central tropical Atlantic. Showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of organization over the northwestern Caribbean Sea, however, there are still no signs of a surface circulation. This system is forecast to move slowly northwestward across the Yucatan Peninsula today with limited development. Upper-level winds are forecast to become more conducive for development later in the week, and a tropical depression could form on Thursday or Friday while the disturbance moves across the western Gulf of Mexico. Interests across northeastern Mexico and the coast of Texas and Louisiana should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are likely over western Cuba and the Yucatan Peninsula today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form along a trough of low pressure located over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean. Environmental conditions are conducive for some development, and a tropical or subtropical depression could form by the end of the week while the low meanders over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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