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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-24 01:33:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
427 ABNT20 KNHC 232333 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sun Sep 23 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Kirk, located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, and on Subtropical Storm Leslie located more than 1000 miles west of the Azores. A broad area of low pressure located about 375 miles southwest of Bermuda continues to produce limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to become a little more conducive for development during the next couple of days while the system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward over the southwestern Atlantic. The low is forecast to turn northward by Tuesday night, and pass near the southeastern United States coast on Wednesday. After that time, upper-level winds are forecast to become less favorable while the low begins to move northeastward, away from the east coast of the United States. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A non-tropical low pressure system is expected to form north of Subtropical Storm Leslie along a central Atlantic cold front by Wednesday. Leslie and the non-tropical low are forecast to merge over the central Atlantic where conditions appear conducive for the resulting low to acquire subtropical or tropical characteristics by the latter part of this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. && Public Advisories on Leslie are issued under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3. Forecast/Advisories on Leslie are issued under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3. $$ Forecaster Brown
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