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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-09-24 07:10:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
315 ABNT20 KNHC 240510 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Mon Sep 24 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently downgraded Tropical Depression Kirk, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, and on Subtropical Storm Leslie located more than 1000 miles west of the Azores. A broad area of low pressure located about midway between Bermuda and the Bahamas continues to produce a limited amount of shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to become slightly more conducive for development during the next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward. By Tuesday night and Wednesday, upper-level winds are expected to increase, limiting the chances for additional development, while the system moves northward near the southeastern United States coast. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A non-tropical low pressure system is expected to form north of Subtropical Storm Leslie along a cold front over the central Atlantic by Wednesday. Leslie and the non-tropical low are expected to merge over the central Atlantic, where conditions appear conducive for the low to acquire tropical or subtropical characteristics by the end of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. && Public Advisories on Leslie are issued under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3. Forecast/Advisories on Leslie are issued under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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