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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-10-14 19:34:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 141734 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Oct 14 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad, low-latitude tropical wave located more than 800 miles east of French Guiana is producing a large area of cloudiness and disorganized shower activity. Any development of this system should be slow to occur during the next couple of days before upper-level winds become unfavorable around mid-week, prior to the disturbance reaching the northeastern coast of South America. This wave is expected to move westward at about 15 mph during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. An area of disturbed weather has developed over the southwestern Caribbean Sea in association with a large low pressure system located more than 200 miles east-southeast of the Nicaragua-Honduras border. Upper-air data indicate that the system has become better defined over the past couple of days. However, the surface circulation remains broad and upper-level winds are expected to be only marginally favorable for any development to occur while the system moves westward to west-northwestward over the next couple of days, reaching Nicaragua and Honduras by late Monday or early Tuesday. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall will be possible across portions of Central America Tuesday through Thursday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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