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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-09 01:55:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 082355 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sun Sep 8 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian, located over Atlantic Canada east of St. Anthony, Newfoundland, and on Tropical Storm Gabrielle, located over the north-central Atlantic Ocean. A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms several hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next few days while the low moves west-southwestward to westward across the central tropical Atlantic Ocean. By Thursday, the upper-level winds are forecast to become less favorable for tropical cyclone formation. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles north and northeast of the northern Leeward Islands is associated with a surface trough interacting with an upper-level low. Strong upper-level winds are expected to prevent the development of this system during the next few days while it moves west-northwestward to the north of the Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico. By mid-week, environmental conditions could become more conducive for development when the disturbance moves near the southeastern Bahamas. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

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