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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-14 07:55:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 140555 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sat Sep 14 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Humberto, located near the northwestern Bahamas. A fast-moving tropical wave is located about 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. This system is producing limited shower activity, and development, if any, should be slow to occur during the next couple of days while the wave moves quickly westward across the tropical Atlantic. Conditions could be a little more conducive for development in a few days when the wave moves over the eastern Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Another tropical wave is located about 600 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form early next week while it moves westward across the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. An area of disturbed weather is located between the two tropical waves mentioned above, about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. This disturbance may merge with the tropical wave approaching from the east over the weekend. However, some development of this system is possible through early next week as long as it remains a distinct system. The disturbance is forecast to move slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A large area of showers and thunderstorms over the eastern Gulf of Mexico is primarily associated with a upper-level low pressure area. Only slow development of this system is likely during the next couple of days. However, conditions could become more conducive for development early next week as the system moves over the western Gulf of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
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