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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-19 13:45:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 191145 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Thu Sep 19 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Humberto, located several hundred miles northeast of Bermuda, and on Tropical Storm Jerry, located several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands. A tropical wave located about 1000 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers. Some development of this system is possible while the system approaches the Windward Islands this weekend or when it moves across the eastern Caribbean Sea early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An elongated area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is located just south of the Dominican Republic. Although upper-level winds are not conducive for significant development, thunderstorm activity has become more concentrated since yesterday. Some slight development is still possible before the system begins to interact with the high terrain of Hispaniola. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the Dominican Republic and Haiti during the next day or two. The disturbance is forecast to move slowly northwestward through the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa in a few days. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for at least gradual development thereafter while the system moves westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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