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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-19 19:39:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 191739 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Thu Sep 19 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Humberto, located several hundred miles northeast of Bermuda, and on recently upgraded Hurricane Jerry, located several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands. A tropical wave located about 1000 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized cloudiness and showers. Some development of this system is possible while the system approaches the Windward Islands this weekend or when it moves across the eastern Caribbean Sea early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An elongated area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is located just south of Hispaniola. Although upper-level winds are not conducive for significant development, this system is producing persistent showers and thunderstorms. Some slight development is possible during the next day or two as long as the system remains over water. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the Greater Antilles during the next few days while the disturbance moves slowly northwestward or west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa in a few days. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development thereafter and a tropical depression could form early next week while the system moves westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
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