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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-09-13 19:43:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 131743 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Sep 13 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Paulette, located over the western Atlantic, on Tropical Depression Rene, located over the central Atlantic, on Tropical Storm Sally, centered over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico, and on Tropical Depression Twenty, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic. A surface trough over the west-central Gulf of Mexico continues to produce limited shower activity. Any development of this system is expected to be slow to occur while it moves southwestward and then southward at 5 to 10 mph over the western Gulf of Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Satellite-derived wind data from this morning indicated that the circulation associated with an area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands remains elongated. However, environmental conditions are conducive for a short-lived tropical depression to form over the next day or so while the low moves north-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. Development is not expected by Tuesday when the system is forecast to encounter strong upper-level winds and move over colder waters. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa on Monday. Some gradual development of the system is possible by the middle of the week as the wave moves westward at about 10 mph over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Twenty are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Twenty are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5. $$ Forecaster Berg
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