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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-05-22 07:33:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 220532 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sat May 22 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Satellite images indicate that the well-defined low pressure area located about 200 miles northeast of Bermuda continues to produce gale-force winds and appears to have acquired subtropical characteristics. In addition, thunderstorm activity has been gradually increasing near the center, and if that trend continues advisories will be issued later this morning. The low is expected to move little today, remaining in the vicinity of Bermuda, but it is forecast to turn northeastward and move into a more hostile environment on Sunday. Additional information on this low pressure area can be found in High Seas forecasts issued by the NOAA Ocean Prediction Center and forecast products, including a tropical storm watch, issued by the Bermuda Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. A well-defined low pressure area is approaching the Texas coast and is now about 50 miles east-southeast of Corpus Christi. Surface observations and satellite wind data indicate that the system continues to produce winds of about 35 mph near and to the east of its center, but the associated shower and thunderstorm activity remains limited. Since the low is expected to move inland during the next several hours, the chances of it becoming a tropical depression or storm are decreasing. Regardless of development, the system could produce heavy rainfall over portions of southeastern Texas and southwestern Louisiana today. Given the complete saturation of soils with ongoing river flooding along the Texas and Louisiana coastal areas, heavy rain could lead to flash, urban, and additional riverine flooding across this region. Additional information on the rainfall and flooding potential can be found in products issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast Office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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