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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-06-24 19:54:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 241753 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Thu Jun 24 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A strong tropical wave located over the far east Atlantic off the African coast is producing a broad area of showers and thunderstorms. As the system moves west-northwestward into the central Atlantic Ocean, conditions appear only marginally conducive for development due to relatively cool ocean temperatures. However, a small tropical depression could still form by early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Recent satellite-derived surface winds indicate that the small area of low pressure located about 100 miles east-southeast of Barbados has degenerated into a trough. In addition, shower and thunderstorm activity has diminished with this system. Unfavorable upper-level winds are expected to prevent development of this disturbance while moving toward the west-northwest at about 10 mph. Even though development is not expected, the disturbance could produce increased shower activity and some gusty winds while moving across the Lesser Antilles over the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin/Cangialosi

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