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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-08-27 19:19:52| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 271719 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Fri Aug 27 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Hurricane Ida, located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea near the Isle of Youth. An elongated area of low pressure located over the central Atlantic several hundred miles east of Bermuda is producing disorganized showers and a couple of thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be marginally conducive for development, however, a tropical depression could still form over the weekend. The system is expected to drift eastward through tonight and Saturday, then accelerate northeastward Sunday toward the central north Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located about midway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles have become a little better organized today. Additional development of this system is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form later tonight or Saturday before it moves into an environment of stronger upper-level winds and slightly cooler waters. The disturbance is forecast to move west-northwestward through tonight, then turn northward Saturday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Another tropical wave is expected to emerge off of the west African coast by the middle of next week. Afterwards, environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for gradual development toward the end of next week as the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts
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