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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-08-30 07:52:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 300552 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Mon Aug 30 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Ida, located inland over southeastern Louisiana, on Tropical Depression Ten, located over the central tropical Atlantic, and has issued the last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Julian, moving rapidly northeastward over the central subtropical Atlantic. Showers and thunderstorms have mostly diminished with the broad area of low pressure located east of the Delmarva Peninsula. Upper-level winds are expected to increase over the low tomorrow, and its prospects for further development have decreased as it drifts slowly away from the east coast of the United States. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. A tropical wave is expected to emerge off the west coast of Africa later today. Environmental conditions appear conducive for the development of a low pressure area once the wave moves offshore, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle or latter part of the week while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form in the southern Caribbean Sea over the next several days. Environmental conditions appear to be favorable for some slow development by the end of the week, as long as the system remains over water. This system is expected to move gradually west-northwestward or northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the western Caribbean Sea close to the east coast of Central America. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin

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