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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-18 01:27:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 172327 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Fri Sep 17 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Storm Odette, located a couple of hundred miles off the Mid-Atlantic U.S. coast. The Weather Prediction Center has issued the last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Nicholas, located over Louisiana. Showers and thunderstorms are gradually becoming better organized in association with an area of low pressure located about 1100 miles east-southeast of the northern Leeward Islands. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for further development during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or two while the system moves toward the west-northwest at about 15 mph. This system is expected to be near the northern Leeward Islands on Monday and Tuesday, and interests there should monitor the progress of this disturbance. Upper-level winds are likely to become less conducive for development when the system reaches the southwestern Atlantic by the early to middle part of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is expected to move toward the west and then northwest at 5 to 10 mph over the far eastern Atlantic, and some gradual development is possible over the weekend. However, by early next week, further development appears unlikely as the system is expected to move into strong upper-level winds and over cooler waters. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Odette are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Odette are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

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