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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-18 07:41:22| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 180541 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sat Sep 18 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Odette, located several hundred miles off the Mid-Atlantic U.S. coast. Showers and thunderstorms continue to become better organized in association with an area of low pressure located less than 1000 miles east-southeast of the northern Leeward Islands. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for further development during the next day or two, and a tropical depression is likely to form later today or tomorrow while the system moves toward the west-northwest at about 15 mph. This system is expected to be near the northern Leeward Islands on Monday and Tuesday, and interests there should monitor the progress of this disturbance. Upper-level winds are likely to become less conducive for development when the system reaches the southwestern Atlantic by the early to middle part of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has developed a more concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms, primarily west of the center. This system is currently nearly stationary, but is expected to begin moving towards the northwest at 5 to 10 mph over the far eastern Atlantic where some additional development is possible over the weekend. However, by early next week, further development appears unlikely as the system is forecast to move into less conducive upper-level winds and over cooler waters. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Odette are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Odette are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5. $$ Forecaster Papin

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