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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-09-27 19:51:43| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 271751 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Mon Sep 27 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Sam, located several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles. The area of low pressure associated with the remnants of Peter has become better defined today, and the shower and thunderstorm activity has become a little better organized. Any further increase in organization could result in the formation of a short-lived tropical depression, while it moves northeastward at about 10 mph. By Wednesday, environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development of this disturbance, and a tropical depression is likely to form in a few of days while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A tropical wave located just offshore the west coast of Africa is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Upper-level winds are conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form in a few days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Hagen/Pasch
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