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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-06-20 23:07:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 202107 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 510 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A special tropical weather outlook issued to update the discussion of the low pressure system northeast of the Bahamas. Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Alberto, located inland over northeastern Mexico. Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (AL92) Updated: Data from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicates that the small area of low pressure located about 150 miles northeast of the northernmost Bahamas does not have a well-defined surface circulation. Environmental conditions remain marginally conducive for further development and this system could become a tropical depression while the low moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. The system is expected to approach the northeastern coast of Florida or the Georgia coast early on Friday. Another Air Force Reserve reconnaissance mission is planned for Friday morning, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over southeastern Mexico and northern Central America on Friday. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development after this system moves over the Bay of Campeche on Saturday, and a tropical depression could form over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend while it moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Bucci
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