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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-06-21 01:20:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 202319 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center has written the last advisory on the remnants of Alberto, which are located inland over northeastern Mexico. Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (AL92): Satellite imagery shows that shower activity associated with the area of low pressure located about 175 miles north-northeast of the northern Bahamas has become a little better organized during the past 24 hours. However, earlier Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft data indicated that the system does not have a well-defined circulation. Environmental conditions remain marginally conducive for additional development and this system could become a tropical depression while the low moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. The system is expected to approach the northeastern coast of Florida or the Georgia coast early on Friday, and interests there should monitor the progress of the system. Another Air Force Reserve aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system on Friday morning, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over southeastern Mexico and northern Central America on Friday. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development after this system moves over the Bay of Campeche on Saturday, and a tropical depression could form over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend while it moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
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