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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-08-31 07:45:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
048 ABNT20 KNHC 310545 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sat Aug 31 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Northwestern Gulf of Mexico: A surface trough of low pressure over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms along and just offshore the coasts of Texas and Louisiana. Surface observations continue to show no signs of a closed circulation. This system is expected to meander near the coast through much of next week, and some slow development is possible if it remains offshore. Regardless of development, heavy rains could cause some flash flooding across portions of coastal Louisiana and the upper Texas coast during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles remain disorganized. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form some time next week while it moves westward, reaching the Lesser Antilles on Monday and continuing across the Caribbean Sea through the middle to latter part of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: Another tropical wave just the west of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Some slow development of this system is possible through late next week while it moves slowly to the west-northwest over the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Bucci
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