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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-09-12 19:37:43| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 121737 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 200 PM EDT Thu Sep 12 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Seven, located over the central Atlantic Ocean. The National Hurricane Center has issued its final advisory on Tropical Depression Francine, located inland over Mississippi. The next advisory will be issued by the Weather Prediction Center at 2100 UTC. East of the Leeward Islands (AL94): Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization in association with a small area of low pressure located a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands. However, the proximity of dry air near the system could limit additional development over the next couple of days. Environmental conditions are expected to become even less conducive over the weekend while the system moves slowly west-northwestward. Regardless of development, this system could produce locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds across the northern Leeward Islands on Friday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. Offshore the Southeastern U.S.: A non-tropical area of low pressure could form along a residual frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern U.S. coastline this weekend. Thereafter, some subtropical or tropical development is possible during the early part of next week while the system drifts to the north or northwest. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Bann/Blake


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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-09-12 19:12:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 121712 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Thu Sep 12 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly- developed Tropical Depression Nine-E, located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4. $$ Forecaster Beven


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Tropical Depression Nine-E Forecast Advisory Number 1

2024-09-12 17:30:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 12 2024 566 WTPZ24 KNHC 121530 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092024 1500 UTC THU SEP 12 2024 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 107.6W AT 12/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 107.6W AT 12/1500Z AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 107.4W FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 20.4N 108.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 22.0N 109.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 23.5N 110.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 25.0N 110.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 26.1N 110.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 27.0N 110.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 28.6N 111.2W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 107.6W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 12/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z $$ FORECASTER HAGEN


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

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