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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-25 13:52:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 251152 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Helene, located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic (AL98): A broad low pressure system associated with a tropical wave located west of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form in a few days while it moves westward to west-northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL99): A non-tropical area of low pressure is currently located several hundred miles to the northeast of Bermuda. The system is currently producing winds up to storm force, and environmental conditions could support some subtropical or tropical development over the next several days as the system moves generally eastward, remaining over the open waters of central Subtropical Atlantic. Additional information on this system, including storm warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Kelly
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-25 13:47:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 251147 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Sep 25 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Offshore of Southern Mexico (EP95): Showers and thunderstorms continue to increase and become better organized this morning in association with an area of low pressure, partially associated with the remnants of John, located offshore of southern Mexico. Ship observations in the area also depict pressure falling within the area the last several hours. If these trends continue, advisories will likely be initiated later this morning, with watches and warnings likely issued for portions of Mexico. Interests in southern Mexico should closely monitor the progress of this system as it is expected to produce heavy rainfall with the potential for flash flooding and mudslides over a large portion of southern Mexico through this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent. $$ Forecaster Kelly
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-25 12:10:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 251010 TWOEP Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 310 AM PDT Wed Sep 25 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Special Outlook Issued to update information about EP95, the system offshore of Southern Mexico. Offshore of Southern Mexico (EP95): Update: Recent ship observations indicate significant pressure falls are occuring with an area of low pressure, partially associated with the remnants of John, located offshore of Southern Mexico. Shower and thunderstorm activity also continues to become better organized. If these trends continue, a tropical depression or storm could form as soon as later today, as long as the system remains over water. Interests in southern Mexico should closely monitor the progress of this system, and regardless of development, this system is expected to produce heavy rainfall with the potential for flash flooding and mudslides over a large portion of southern Mexico through this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin/Beven
Category: Transportation and Logistics