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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-07-16 13:46:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
755 ABPZ20 KNHC 161146 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Mon Jul 16 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms in association with a low pressure system located about 1150 miles east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii continue to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for the development of a tropical depression during the next day or so before upper-level winds become less conducive by mid-week. This system is moving westward and is expected to cross into the Central Pacific basin later today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula has changed little over the past several hours. This disturbance is producing wind gusts to near gale force to the east of the wave axis. Although the environment is expected to be only marginally conducive, some additional development is possible during the next day or so while the system moves westward to west-northwestward. By Wednesday, strong upper-level winds will likely prevent further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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