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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-07-20 01:19:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
379 ABPZ20 KNHC 192319 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Thu Jul 19 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Satellite wind data indicate that the broad area of low pressure located about 1400 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become less organized since yesterday. Since the overall environment still appears to be conducive for development, some gradual organization is possible during the next few days while the system moves westward at 15 to 20 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms centered several hundred miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, is associated with a tropical wave. Upper-level winds are forecast to become increasingly favorable for development over the weekend, and a tropical depression could form early next week while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. An area of low pressure is likely to form early next week several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Conditions appear conducive for some development of this system thereafter while it moves westward or west-northwestward well south of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
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