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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-07-22 14:05:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
698 ABPZ20 KNHC 221205 CCA TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Jul 22 2018 Corrected spelling in first paragraph For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A low pressure area located about 1150 miles east-southeast of the Big island of Hawaii is producing showers and thunderstorms to the east and southeast of the center. However, development of this system is not expected due to strong upper-level winds. The low is forecast to move westward at 10 to 15 mph and cross into the Central Pacific basin this afternoon. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A large area of disturbed weather is located several hundred miles south and southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. Although this system remains disorganized, environmental conditions are expected to become somewhat conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form by the middle part of this week. This disturbance is expected to move toward the west or west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A weak area of low pressure has formed several hundred miles south-southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Little development of the system is expected during the next couple of days. After that time, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development while the system moves toward the west or west-northwest well south of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
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