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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-07-25 01:46:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

808 ABPZ20 KNHC 242346 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Tue Jul 24 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A weak area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. No significant development is expected during the next day or two, but conditions could become a little more favorable for tropical cyclone formation by this weekend while the system moves toward the west or west-northwest away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Another area of low pressure has developed a little more than 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Recent satellite data indicate that this system has developed a closed, but poorly defined surface circulation, and the associated shower activity is currently disorganized. However, some gradual development of this system is possible over the next few days while the system moves generally westward. By the weekend, strong upper-level winds are likely to prevent further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

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