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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-07-26 19:27:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
966 ABPZ20 KNHC 261726 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Thu Jul 26 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Satellite images this morning indicate that the shower activity associated with a low pressure area located a little more than 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is becoming better organized. Conditions are favorable for additional development, and a tropical depression could form at any time later today or Friday. This system is expected to move toward the west-northwest or west during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a small low pressure system are located a little more than 1800 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. This system is forecast to move westward and only a small increase in organization could result in the formation of a tropical depression later today or early Friday. After that time, unfavorable upper-level winds are expected to become established over the disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of Mexico early next week. Conditions are expected to be favorable for this system to gradually develop as it moves toward the west-northwest well south of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila
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