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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-02 19:47:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

909 ABPZ20 KNHC 021747 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Thu Aug 2 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Hurricane Hector, located well southwest of Baja California Sur. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue near a tropical wave located several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for gradual development of this system during the next few days as it moves generally westward to west-northwestward across the tropical eastern Pacific. By early next week, proximity to another low pressure system could limit further development of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An area of disturbed weather centered several hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec shows no signs of organization. However, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for significant development for the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form on Sunday or Monday while it moves west-northwestward off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

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