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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-08-03 19:46:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
567 ABPZ20 KNHC 031745 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Aug 3 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hector, located well southwest of Baja California Sur. Satellite images indicate that a low pressure area has formed about 700 miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, and is already showing some signs of organization. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend or early next week. The low is forecast to move slowly westward over the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. A large area of disturbed weather centered several hundred miles southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec remains poorly organized. However, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development during the next several days, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form by early next week while it moves west-northwestward off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A tropical wave just west of Central America is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers. While development of this system is possible over the next several days, strong upper-level winds from a system to the northwest could prevent significant organization. The wave is expected to move westward or west-northwestward during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
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