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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-04 07:17:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

844 ABPZ20 KNHC 040517 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Fri Aug 3 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hector, located well southwest of Baja California Sur. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure centered about 800 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula have changed little in organization over the past several hours. Environmental conditions are expected to support additional development and a tropical depression is likely to form by early next week as the system moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A large area of disturbed weather centered several hundred miles southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec continues to show signs of becoming better organized. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected form within the next few days while the system moves west-northwestward off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A tropical wave located south of the coast of Guatemala continues to produce disorganized shower activity. While development of this system is possible over the next several days, strong upper-level winds from another disturbance to the west could prevent significant organization. The wave is expected to move westward or west-northwestward during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

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