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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-08-04 13:54:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
062 ABPZ20 KNHC 041154 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Aug 4 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hector, located well southwest of Baja California Sur. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure centered about 825 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continue to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are likely to support additional development, and a tropical depression is expected to form by early next week as the system moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A large area of disturbed weather centered several hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, has become better organized overnight. Environmental conditions are conducive for signficant development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form within the next day or two while the system moves west-northwestward off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the coast of Guatemala continues to produce disorganized shower activity. Although this system has the potential to become a tropical depression early next week, strong upper-level winds from another disturbance to the west could prevent tropical cyclone formation while the system moves westward or west-northwestward south of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
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