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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-08-04 19:47:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
203 ABPZ20 KNHC 041747 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Aug 4 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hector, located over the far southwestern part of the basin. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure centered about 825 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continue to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are likely to support additional development, and a tropical depression is expected to form by early next week as the system moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Satellite data indicate that a broad low pressure area has formed several hundred miles south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico. Environmental conditions are conducive for significant development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form tonight or tomorrow while the system moves west-northwestward off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. Satellite images indicate that a low pressure area located about 275 miles south-southeast of Puerto Angel, Mexico, has become significantly better defined this morning, and a tropical depression could be forming. If current trends continue, advisories could be initiated this afternoon or evening on this system. The low is forecast to move west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, relatively close to Mexico, and interests along the southern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. Heavy rainfall and gusty winds could affect coastal regions of Guerrero northwestward to Jalisco over the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
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