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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-08-05 07:43:13| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

732 ABPZ20 KNHC 050543 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Aug 4 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hector, located well east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii, and on Tropical Depression Eleven-E, located south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated area of low pressure located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula have not become any better organized over the past several hours. However, environmental conditions appear favorable for development, and a tropical depression is expected to form by early next week while this system moves slowly westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A broad area of low pressure is located about 400 miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with the low pressure system has become more concentrated during the past few hours, however recent satellite data indicate that the system does not yet have a well-defined surface circulation. Environmental conditions are conducive for development and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form during the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

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