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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-08-14 13:36:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
876 ABPZ20 KNHC 141136 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Aug 14 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A low pressure system is located just over a 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Showers and thunderstorms continue to gradually become better organized, and environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for a tropical depression to form during the next couple of days while the disturbance moves westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Shower and thunderstorm activity, associated with a weak low pressure area located a little over a 1200 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, has diminished considerably during the past several hours. The system is now moving northwestward over decreasing sea surface temperatures and into an environment less conducive for any further development during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts
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