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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-10-17 13:41:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 171140 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Oct 17 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Satellite-derived winds and surface observations indicate that an elongated low pressure system has developed about 100 miles south of Guatemala. Although associated shower and thunderstorm activity is currently disorganized, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression or a tropical storm is likely to form during the next day or two. The system is forecast to moves generally toward the west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph, near or just offshore the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A weak and nearly stationary area of low pressure located about 900 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized shower activity. Some slow development of this system is possible while it drifts northward or north-northeastward during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
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