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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-07-06 01:16:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 052315 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Jul 5 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Barbara, located a little more than 1600 miles west of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula is producing tropical-storm-force winds. However, the low is not yet well-defined and the associated thunderstorm activity remains disorganized. Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for development, and a tropical storm is likely to form this weekend while the system moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form early next week several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Some gradual development is possible thereafter while the system moves westward to west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && For more information on disturbance south of the Baja California Peninsula see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

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