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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-08-16 13:41:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 161141 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Fri Aug 16 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure has formed a couple of hundred miles south of the coasts of El Salvador and Guatemala and is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of the low, and a tropical depression could form by early next week while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph parallel to the coast of Mexico. Regardless of development, moisture associated with the low is forecast to produce heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding across portions of Central America during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms about 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Slow development of this disturbance is possible during the next couple of days while it moves slowly westward across the tropical eastern Pacific. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

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