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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-13 01:53:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 122353 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Thu Sep 12 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently named Tropical Storm Kiko, located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located a little more than 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula have decreased since this morning. Some gradual development of this system is still possible during the next couple of days while the wave moves slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph. Strong upper-level winds are expected to limit the chance for development by late this weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Another tropical wave, located a few hundred miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico, continues to produce an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible through early next week as it moves westward or west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form west of the coast of Central America over the weekend. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development and a tropical depression could form early next week while the system moves westward well south of the southern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Kiko are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Kiko are issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

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