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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-16 01:32:17| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 152332 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sun Sep 15 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Kiko, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A broad area of low pressure centered several hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form around the middle of the week while it moves slowly west-northwestward well offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A large area of disorganized cloudiness and showers centered several hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form around the middle of the week as the system moves west-northwestward near, or parallel to, the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

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