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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-17 07:07:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 170506 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Mon Sep 16 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Kiko, located over the southwestern part of the basin. Showers and thunderstorms remain limited in association with a well-defined area of low pressure located about 650 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Any significant increase in the thunderstorm activity would lead to the formation of a tropical depression later today or tonight, while the disturbance moves west-northwestward or northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that the large area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south-southeast of Acapulco, Mexico, is becoming better organized. If this development trend continues, then a tropical depression or tropical storm could form later today or tonight. This system will continue to move west-northwest near or just offshore of the coast of Mexico for the next few days. Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Disorganized cloudiness and showers near and just west of Central America are associated with a tropical wave. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days while the wave moves westward or west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. Locally heavy rainfall is possible along the coasts of El Salvador, Guatemala and southeastern Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto
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