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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-06-21 19:29:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 211729 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sun Jun 21 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located more than 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for some gradual development of this system during the next few days while the disturbance moves generally westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico, are beginning to show some signs of organization. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual additional development, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of this week while the disturbance moves westward, away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Another area of disturbed weather is forecast to form south of the coast of Mexico by the middle of this week. Additional development is expected to occur after that time, and the system could become a tropical depression by late this week as the disturbance moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

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