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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-07-06 19:38:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 061738 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Jul 6 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, have become better organized since yesterday. Environmental conditions are conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward, well south of the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula have become limited. Development of this system is no longer expected, and it is likely to merge with another disturbance to its southwest within the next day or two. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located more than 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Some gradual development of this system is possible over the next several days while it moves little. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Another area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec late this week. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for subsequent gradual development this weekend while the system moves westward well south of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

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