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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-08-12 19:43:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 121742 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Wed Aug 12 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently downgraded Tropical Storm Elida, located several hundred miles southwest of Punta Eugenia, Mexico. Satellite images suggest that a better-defined low pressure area is forming about 1300 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is becoming a little better organized. Environmental conditions are conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next couple of days while the system moves slowly west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A large area of disturbed weather associated with a trough of low pressure extends several hundred miles southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the next few days before the system reaches cooler waters over the weekend. This system is forecast to move west-northwestward at about 15 mph away from the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Another area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days over the far eastern portion of the basin to the south of the coast of Central America. Conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next week while it moves generally west-northwestward just offshore the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
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