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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-15 01:17:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 142317 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Aug 14 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E, located more than 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Satellite data indicate that the circulation associated with an area of low pressure located about 175 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become a little better defined since yesterday. However, the associated shower activity remains limited. While some additional development of this system is possible, the low is forecast to reach cooler waters on Saturday and the chance of this system becoming a tropical depression appears to be decreasing. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. Another area of disturbed weather associated with a trough of low pressure is located about 800 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for the development of this system and it is likely to become a tropical depression while it moves slowly north-northwestward or northward during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. A trough of low pressure continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms just offshore of the Pacific coast of Central America. Conditions are expected to be conducive for a low pressure system to develop from this trough over the next day or so, and a tropical depression or storm is likely to form this weekend or early next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

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