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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-23 07:42:31| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 230542 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Aug 22 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce a large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms. Conditions appear favorable for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the early- to-middle part of next week while the system drifts a few hundred miles offshore the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. An area of low pressure is likely to form south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec during the next day or two. A tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of next week while the system moves slowly northwestward or northward, near or parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall and flash flooding are likely in southeastern Mexico and northern Central America during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven

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