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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-08-25 07:52:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 250552 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Mon Aug 24 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad low pressure system is located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Showers and thunderstorms are beginning to show some signs of organization, and environmental conditions appear conducive for a tropical depression to form during the next couple of days while the system moves slowly east-northeastward to northeastward toward the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A small low pressure system has moved inland over south-central Mexico just north of Puerto Angel. The low is forecast to meander or move slowly westward to west-northwestward over or near the southern coast of Mexico, and a tropical depression could still form if the system moves back out over the water during the next day or two. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rainfall and flash flooding are likely in southeastern Mexico and northern Central America during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Another small low pressure system has developed several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to gradually become more favorable for development during the next several days while the system moves slowly east-northeastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

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